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Nuclear power is seeing a global resurgence, as leaders race to declare nuclear the future of clean electricity.
“There is no carbon-free future without nuclear power,” federal Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has said. “That’s just a physical and mathematical fact.” Ontario Premier Doug Ford says his province’s nuclear fleet is “uniquely positioned to power the future.” Alberta Premier Danielle Smith says nuclear power is “key to providing reliable and affordable power.”
The enthusiasm doesn’t stop at Canada’s borders. Around the world, 31 countries, including Canada and the U.S, have joined a declaration — stemming from last year’s United Nations climate change conference — to triple global nuclear energy capacity by 2050. Many have cited climate change and energy security as reasons to be gung ho for nuclear.
It’s all leading to what’s been dubbed a “nuclear renaissance.”
And that combination of international factors is driving a boom in uranium exploration and mining in northern Saskatchewan, home to the world’s largest deposits of high-grade uranium, an ideal fuel for reactors.
Only two uranium mines are operating in Saskatchewan at the moment — the only active mines in Canada — but more are waiting for approvals and the level of exploration and government enthusiasm is predicted to drive more activity in the sector.
The boom will, as all booms do, come with big questions about who wins, who loses and whether the risks associated with nuclear power and uranium mining are worth it.
Those risks are not distributed evenly, and overwhelmingly impact Indigenous communities in the north. And while the rewards will favour governments and industry, those same communities will see increased job opportunities and investments.
Here’s a breakdown of what’s happening in northern Saskatchewan and what’s likely to come.
Uranium is a radioactive element that is the main source of fuel for nuclear reactors. It’s a heavy metal found in ore that has to be mined, first getting rid of the waste rock in which it’s encased, and then refined so it can be used in reactors to produce electricity (that’d be nuclear fission).
According to the International Atomic Energy Agency, “a chicken-egg-sized amount of uranium fuel can provide as much electricity as 88 tonnes of coal.”
Saskatchewan stands alone for the purity of its deposits — the high grade of uranium ore underground. Essentially, there is more uranium in each bit of rock, meaning less waste, less work and more money per tonne of rock.
Natural Resources Canada says the deposits contain “grades that are 10 to 100 times greater than the average grade of deposits mined elsewhere in the world.”
Cameco, a major uranium producer based in Saskatoon, says its McArthur River mine, about 800 kilometres north of Saskatoon, has uranium grades 100 times higher than the global average.
Uranium can be mined like any other ore, including using open pits dug to allow easier access to the resource (but that is increasingly rare). Both active uranium mines in Canada are underground and use a variety of techniques, including in-situ — where chemicals are pumped into the ground to dissolve the uranium and then the uranium is pumped it to the surface for processing.
The high grade of Saskatchewan’s uranium means a higher level of radioactivity. Due to this, humans are often shielded from the actual ore removal, including by the use of automated vehicles to transport the ore.
Along with Saskatchewan’s two active mines are two mills — facilities that process the ore into a concentrated uranium powder known as yellowcake for further refining.
A lot, though the exact estimate is difficult to pin down.
According to Cameco, estimated reserves in Saskatchewan alone are approximately 250 million kilograms (547 million pounds). That’d be around 10 per cent of the world’s total. But to inject a bit of confusion, the Saskatchewan government has different numbers. In its critical minerals strategy, it says the province is home to 1.5 billion pounds of recoverable uranium.
The Saskatchewan government has not responded to questions asking for clarification on the discrepancy.
Either way, most agree Saskatchewan has the world’s largest high-grade deposits, though overall it has the third-largest deposits in the world behind Australia and Kazakhstan. Last year, the province was the world’s second-largest uranium producer, after Kazakhstan.
Two companies operate the active uranium mines in Canada, Cameco and Orano (a French mutli-national whose Canadian subsidiary is headquartered in Saskatoon). The two companies share ownership, of varying degrees, of several mines and mills.
Several companies are actively exploring or applying for mine approvals in Saskatchewan, including NextGen Energy Ltd. That company was recently fined by the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission for “site preparation and construction of a uranium mine and mill facility” without a licence — while it awaits approvals and an environmental impact assessment.
Tepco Resources Inc., based in Japan, has a small share of the Cigar Lake Mine, which is majority-owned by Cameco.
The uranium itself, however, is technically owned by the province, which collects royalties for mining.
First Nations in northern Saskatchewan have complicated, ever-changing relationships with uranium mining companies. As with much resource extraction in Canada, government decisions to allow uranium mining in Treaty 8 and Treaty 10 territories have often happened without consideration for Treaty Rights or potential impacts on Indigenous ways of life.
In 2023, when Saskatchewan released its critical mineral strategy, the Federation of Sovereign Indigenous Nations, which represents 73 nations in the province, said that without consultation and built-in benefits sharing, the strategy infringed on inherent and Treaty Rights.
Nations insist work on their territories requires informed consent, and there have been blockades to prevent uranium exploration in the region without it — such as one in 2014, and two in 2021. Last fall, the non-profit Ya’ thi Néné, which represents both Athabasca Denesułiné First Nations and non-Indigenous municipalities in the region, signed an agreement with Eagle Plains Resources allowing exploration as long as its members get a fair share of revenue.
The province saw a massive increase in exports to the European Union in 2023, particularly to Germany. According to the Saskatchewan Trade and Export Partnership’s latest report, overall exports increased by 220 per cent in 2023, to more than $1.7 billion.
According to the World Bank, Saskatchewan’s 2022 exports went exclusively to Europe and the United States. In the U.S., approximately 20 per cent of electricity is generated by nuclear reactors, while in Europe, it’s approximately 24 per cent.
The CEO of Cameco has said he’s extremely optimistic about the future of the industry, with uranium prices significantly higher than they were a decade ago and governments around the world pledging to increase nuclear power.
“I’ve been in this game, the nuclear business, for over 40 years, and I don’t think I’ve ever seen the long-term fundamentals as good as they are today, like around the world,” Tim Gitzel told the Saskatoon Star Phoenix last December.
The company has seen increased revenue, but has spent a lot of money to acquire a builder of nuclear reactors (more on that in a minute).
But that sunny outlook won’t necessarily translate into government revenue. In the 2023-24 budget year, the Saskatchewan government received approximately $90 million from uranium mining, down from its forecast of $122 million. In its annual report, the Ministry of Energy and Resources said the difference is “due primarily to lower basic and profit royalties.”
In its latest budget, however, the government noted expenditures for the Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources was $76.7 million higher “primarily due to an increase in liability associated with the remediation of mine sites, including the Lorado and Gunnar uranium mines and the Anglo-Rouyn base metals mine.” Like other industrial sites, uranium mines carry costly cleanup bills, but the actual price will depend on the site in question.
The cleanup costs for the decommissioned Gunnar mine in northern Saskatchewan are estimated at $280 million, paid for by the federal and provincial governments.
The world’s newfound hunger for uranium translates into more exploration.
Developing a mine in northern Saskatchewan is a long and expensive process, with federal and provincial regulations dealing with everything from nuclear security to environmental impacts. Exploration is a lot easier, and so is staking a claim.
The provincial critical minerals strategy, which is heavily focused on potash, uranium and helium, says exploration spending for uranium increased from $75 million in 2021 to an estimated $126 million in 2022.
Natural Resources Canada says the uranium market across the country has “experienced a remarkable resurgence recently,” with spending more than doubling between 2021 and 2023. Most of that is in Saskatchewan, according to the agency.
The Ministry of Energy and Resources did not return questions asking about the number of companies involved in exploration activities.
The provincial government is pushing hard to expand the sector.
It’s pushing hard for more uranium exploration and production, offering tax credits and incentives as part of its larger critical minerals strategy. The strategy also says the province will work with Ottawa to “remove barriers to global market access and foreign investment restrictions on uranium.”
But it is also pushing hard to be a leader in the deployment of small modular reactors, relying on the promise of the largely untested technology to not only support a homegrown uranium industry, but also to solve its emissions-heavy electricity grid issues.
Cameco recently partnered with Brookfield Asset Management, a global investment firm headquartered in Toronto, to buy Westinghouse Electric Company, a U.S.-based producer of reactors.
Those companies signed a memorandum of understanding with the government to evaluate the potential of their reactors for the province. SaskPower, the Crown corporation that runs the provincial grid, has also signed a deal with GE Hitachi to build a small modular reactor.
There will always be a risk of radioactive contamination on the landscape, as well as human health impacts from uranium mining.
Tailings, the waste product from mining, are radioactive and must be stored properly in ponds that cap the radioactive material. Historical techniques, where waste was piled in the open air, led to contaminated water and air.
Active mines can pose a health risk to miners — uranium is radioactive, after all — but steps have been taken to prevent direct contact and increase the use of safety equipment and monitoring.
When uranium decays, it produces radon gas which can be inhaled and is known to cause lung cancer — a causal link made clear in observations of uranium miners.
The Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission says the risk to the public and to workers in both uranium exploration and mining is low with the use of contemporary techniques and protocols. A study currently underway by the commission is looking at historical and current worker data to determine risks.
But risks can also impact nearby communities if radiation escapes into the environment, posing a threat to air and water. Leaky tailings, which can remain radioactive for thousands of years, could contaminate water.
These mines don’t just go away when they shut down. The Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission lists 19 closed uranium mines with tailings that are managed either by their former owners, the federal government or the provincial government. Four of these inactive mines are in Saskatchewan.
There are also 78 older mines without tailings that are exempted from the federal regulations, according to the commission.
“These idle mines are, in all physical and radiological characteristics, indistinguishable from conventional mines,” it says.
Despite the low risk of some of those older mines, others will cost hundreds of millions of dollars to remediate.
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